Now that I've seen nearly all of the Best Picture nominees I feel like I can make some official predictions, and also make some picks on which are my favourites. Full disclosure, there are a few of these films I have not seen, and I'm going to exclude picks in some categories that I don't know enough about to make an informed decision on.
Lets start with the big ones!
Best Picture:
“Black Panther”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”
I really thought all of the best picture nominees this year were fantastic, but I have to say.. I think Green Book was one of the best films I saw this year, if not THE best. Mahershala Ali was absolutely fantastic, and I really thought they beautifully told the story so well. BlacKkKlansman was really interesting because it had this very empowering feeling throughout the whole movie, so the scenes of Charlottesville at the end was really jarring and made seeing those images even more emotional to watch. Vice, just like The Big Short, managed to leave me truly enraged, but it was so interesting to see how truly connected everything in Washington really is, the scenes with the think tanks really made me nauseous. A Star Is Born was beautiful and Lady Gaga was unrecognizably, she was truly lost in her character completely. Bohemian Rhapsody was so much better than I was expecting and I loved seeing the history to one of my all-time favourite rock bands. I thought having such a huge chunk of "Live Aid" in there was a risky decision but I didn't want it to end. Black Panther was truly an experience, I've gone back and forth on whether or not I thought it deserved to be up on the "Best Picture" list when so many other super hero movies haven't been, but I remember thinking when I left the theater that this was so much more than a super hero movie, and I think that really is true. It was moving to me how much of the fashion, and design, even the hair styles were inspired by African culture, and how much that would mean to people with African heritage. And again... haven't seen Roma or The Favourite yet.. oopsie.
Prediction: I geuniely cannot see an obvious choice here so I'm going to go with my gut and say Green Book.
My Pick: Green Book
Lead Actor:
Christian Bale, “Vice”
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
I have not yet seen At Eternity's Gate, though I really want to, but I gotta say I will defintiely be surprised if Willem Dafoe walks away with this one. Tough category, a lot of great performances in this category. Christian Bale goes so far beyond what is asked of him for roles that its probably taken years off of his life at this point. Give the man the Oscar.
Prediction: Rami Malek
My Pick: Christian Bale
Lead Actress:
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma”
Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Ok so I have not seen The Favourite or Can You Every Forgive me, but judging by the awards leading up to this.. I don't think it matters for this guessing.
Prediction: Glenn Close or Lady Gaga
My Pick: I genuinely cannot pick between Glenn Close and Lady Gaga, they were both incredible.
Supporting Actor:
Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
Look, I don't know who I would have taken off this list.. but Timothée Chalamet was absolutely robbed for not even being nominated in this category for Beautiful Boy. In fact, I think the whole film was robbed of any nominations. Having said all of that, I was kind of blown away by Mahershala Ali. I know he's a great actor, but I thought he absolutely stole the show.
Prediction: Mahershala Ali
My Pick: Mahershala Ali
Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Well, this is awkward because I've only seen Vice so this is mostly a shot in the dark. I don't feel like I can really pick a favourite since I've only seen one of these performances so far. I'm working on it I swear!
Prediction: Regina King
Director:
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
“BlacKkKlansman”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“The Favourite”
“Green Book”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Vice”
Prediction: I geuniely cannot see an obvious choice here so I'm going to go with my gut and say Green Book.
My Pick: Green Book
Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate”
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”
My Pick: Christian Bale
Glenn Close, “The Wife”
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”
Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
My Pick: I genuinely cannot pick between Glenn Close and Lady Gaga, they were both incredible.
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”
Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Sam Rockwell, “Vice”
My Pick: Mahershala Ali
Amy Adams, “Vice”
Marina de Tavira, “Roma”
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”
Emma Stone, “The Favourite”
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War”
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite”
Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”
Adam McKay, “Vice”
Prediction: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
My Pick: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
My Pick: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Animated Feature:
“Incredibles 2,” Brad Bird
“Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
“Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
“Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
“Isle of Dogs,” Wes Anderson
“Mirai,” Mamoru Hosoda
“Ralph Breaks the Internet,” Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
I haven't seen Spider-Man, Ralph, or Mirai so I'm only giving a prediction, but Isle of Dogs was great.
Prediction: Incredibles 2
I haven't seen Spider-Man, Ralph, or Mirai so I'm only giving a prediction, but Isle of Dogs was great.
Prediction: Incredibles 2
Animated Short:
“Animal Behaviour,” Alison Snowden, David Fine
“Bao,” Domee Shi
“Late Afternoon,” Louise Bagnall
“One Small Step,” Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
“Weekends,” Trevor Jimenez
I'm pretty sure I've only seen Bao.
“Bao,” Domee Shi
“Late Afternoon,” Louise Bagnall
“One Small Step,” Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
“Weekends,” Trevor Jimenez
Prediction: Bao
Adapted Screenplay:
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
“BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
“A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
“BlacKkKlansman,” Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?,” Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Barry Jenkins
“A Star Is Born,” Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
Prediction: If Beale Street Could Talk
My Pick: BlacKkKlansman
Prediction: If Beale Street Could Talk
My Pick: BlacKkKlansman
Original Screenplay:
“The Favourite,” Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
“First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
“Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“Vice,” Adam McKay
“First Reformed,” Paul Schrader
“Green Book,” Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“Vice,” Adam McKay
Prediction: Green Book
My Pick: Green Book
Prediction: Green Book
My Pick: Green Book
Cinematography:
“Cold War,” Lukasz Zal
“The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
“Never Look Away,” Caleb Deschanel“Roma,” Alfonso Cuarón
“A Star Is Born,” Matthew Libatique
Wow, I've only seen A Star is Born, so I can't really pick a favourite. Although I have to say Alfonso Cuarón's films normally have some incredible cinematography so I would have high hopes for that one.
“The Favourite,” Robbie Ryan
Prediction: Roma
Best Documentary Feature:
“Free Solo,” Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross
“Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu
“Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki
“RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen
I've heard great things about Free Solo, I've only seen RGB so again don't want to make a pick.
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening,” RaMell Ross
“Minding the Gap,” Bing Liu
“Of Fathers and Sons,” Talal Derki
“RBG,” Betsy West, Julie Cohen
Prediction: Free Solo
Best Documentary Short Subject:
“Black Sheep,” Ed Perkins
“End Game,” Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
“Lifeboat,” Skye Fitzgerald
“A Night at the Garden,” Marshall Curry
“Period. End of Sentence.,” Rayka Zehtabchi
I've seen none of these and picking randomly so I have a prediction.
“End Game,” Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
“Lifeboat,” Skye Fitzgerald
“A Night at the Garden,” Marshall Curry
“Period. End of Sentence.,” Rayka Zehtabchi
Prediction: Life Boat
Prediction: Life Boat
Best Live Action Short Film:
“Detainment,” Vincent Lambe
“Fauve,” Jeremy Comte
“Marguerite,” Marianne Farley
“Mother,” Rodrigo Sorogoyen
“Skin,” Guy Nattiv
Again, picking randomly.
“Detainment,” Vincent Lambe
“Fauve,” Jeremy Comte
“Marguerite,” Marianne Farley
“Mother,” Rodrigo Sorogoyen
“Skin,” Guy Nattiv
Prediction: Marguerite
Best Foreign Language Film:
“Capernaum” (Lebanon)
“Cold War” (Poland)
“Never Look Away” (Germany)
“Roma” (Mexico)
“Shoplifters” (Japan)
“Cold War” (Poland)
“Never Look Away” (Germany)
“Roma” (Mexico)
“Shoplifters” (Japan)
Prediction: Roma
Film Editing:
“BlacKkKlansman,” Barry Alexander Brown
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
“Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
“The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
“Vice,” Hank Corwin
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Ottman
“Green Book,” Patrick J. Don Vito
“The Favourite,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis
“Vice,” Hank Corwin
Prediction: The Favourite
My Pick: Vice
My Pick: Vice
Sound Editing:
“Black Panther,” Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
“First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
“A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
“Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay
“Bohemian Rhapsody,” John Warhurst
“First Man,” Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou Morgan
“A Quiet Place,” Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl
“Roma,” Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay
Prediction: Black Panther
My Pick: A Quiet Place
My Pick: A Quiet Place
Sound Mixing:
“Black Panther”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
“Bohemian Rhapsody”
“First Man”
“Roma”
“A Star Is Born”
Prediction: Bohemian Rhapsody
My Pick: Bohemian Rhapsody
My Pick: Bohemian Rhapsody
Production Design:
“Black Panther,” Hannah Beachler
“First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
“The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
“Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
“Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez
“First Man,” Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
“The Favourite,” Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
“Mary Poppins Returns,” John Myhre, Gordon Sim
“Roma,” Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez
Prediction: Black Panther
My Pick: Black Panther or Mary Poppins Returns
Prediction: Black Panther
My Pick: Black Panther or Mary Poppins Returns
Original Score:
“BlacKkKlansman,” Terence Blanchard
“Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
“Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Black Panther,” Ludwig Goransson
“If Beale Street Could Talk,” Nicholas Britell
“Isle of Dogs,” Alexandre Desplat
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
Prediction: Mary Poppins
My Pick: Mary Poppins
Prediction: Mary Poppins
My Pick: Mary Poppins
Original Song:
“All The Stars” from “Black Panther” by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
“Shallow” from “A Star Is Born” by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch
Prediction: Shallow
My Pick: Shallow
Prediction: Shallow
My Pick: Shallow
Makeup and Hair:
“Border”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
“Vice”
“Mary Queen of Scots”
“Vice”
Prediction: Vice
My Pick: Mary Queen of Scots
Prediction: Vice
My Pick: Mary Queen of Scots
Costume Design:
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” Mary Zophres
“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne
“Black Panther,” Ruth E. Carter
“The Favourite,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Poppins Returns,” Sandy Powell
“Mary Queen of Scots,” Alexandra Byrne
Prediction: Mary Poppins Returns
My Pick: Black Panther
Prediction: Mary Poppins Returns
My Pick: Black Panther
Visual Effects:
“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
“Christopher Robin”
“First Man”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
Prediction: Avengers Infinity War
My Pick: Avengers Infinity War
Well, if you've made it this far... thank you. Leave your top picks and predictions in the comments!
My Pick: Avengers Infinity War
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